هفت سیگنال برای خرید مسکن

زمان مناسب برای تقاضا در بازار مسکن فرارسیده است.

بر طبق گزارشات و سیگنال هایی که این روزها بازار مسکن از خود نشان می دهد می توان گفت زمان خوبی برای تقاضا در بازار به وجود آمده است.به این معنی که خریداران مسکن با توجه به قیمت آن راحت تر می توانند دست به معامله ملک بزنند.از جمله عواملی که شرایط بازار را برای خرید مناسب ساخته است می توان به حجم زیاد واحد های فروش نرفته و همچنین کاهش قیمت اوراق وام مسکن اشاره کرد.

بررسی دقیق وضعیت بازار 7 نشانه و سیگنال موثر را برای ایجاد این شرایط مناسب بیان می کند،که 6 نشانه مرتبط با معاملات روزها و هفته های اخیر است.این نشانه ها باعث شده است تا کارشناسان بازه زمانی کنونی را آغاز ریزنوسنات قیمتی اعلام کنند.

شروع «ریزنوسان» قیمت ملک

اولین سیگنالی که موجب می شود کارشناسان با اتکا به آن زمان را مناسب خرید بدانند آغاز ریز نوسانات قیمتی در بازار مسکن است.

قیمت مسکن تا قبل از بهار امسال، ماهانه، کمتر می شد اما در نیمه اول امسال به رشد هر چند جزیی رسید.

این مسئله بیانگر آن است که ارزش قیمت اگر چه با افزایش جزئی همراه است ولی در فاز فعلی بازار مسکن که به نوعی پیش‌رونق محسوب می شود  فعلا میزان ناپایداری قابل توجه نیست؛ بنابراین کارشناسان به خریداران پیشنهاد می‌کنند از پایداری حداقلی قیمت‌ها استفاده کنند.

ترس فروشندگان از بازگشت رکود

صاحب نظران حوزه مسکن  درتوصیف نشانه دوم عدم تغییر قیمت ها و انعطاف بازار به سمت خرید ملک را بیان می کنند؛ این روزها هر گونه تقاضا نسبت به نوسانات قیمتی بسیار حساس است؛ همین موضوع باعث ایجاد نگرانی در سمت عرضه بازار به علت فروش نرفتن واحدهای مسکونی به جا مانده از قبل می شود.

پوشش مناسب وام از قیمت مسکن

کارشناسان سومین علت را قرار گرفتن بازار خرید و فروش مسکن  در شکاف بین «قیمت» و «قدرت وام خرید»برشمردند.

این روزها سبد های متنوعی از وام ها و تسهیلات بانکی برای خرید مسکن پیش روی متقاضیان و به ویژه خانه اولی هاست.

تداوم عقبگرد قیمت اوراق

چهارمین علت سقوط آزاد قیمت اوراق تسهیلات بدون سپرده خرید مسکن است که برای چهارمین ماه پی در پی اتفاق می افتد.

بازار فصلی، کاملا مصرفی

از نبود زمینه سفته‌بازی در بازار خرید و فروش مسکن می توان به عنوان پنجمین سیگنال قرار گرفتن بازار مسکن در شرایط مناسب خرید یاد کرد.رتبه بندی بازار ها در 8 ماهه نخست سالی جاری بیانگر این است که بازار های پول و سرمایه و سکه و دلار بازدهی به مراتب بیشتری نسبت به بازار مسکن دارند.سرمایه گذاران این بازارها1.7 برابر سرمایه گذاران بازار مسکن ÷ول و سرمایه به دست آورده اند.

زمان خرید نوسازها

کارشناسان در تشریح ششمین سیگنال می گویند:”فرصت پنهان خرید در بازار مسکن به علت پدید آمدن بازه فصلی خرید برای متقاضیان دارای اهیمت است.”کارشناسان معتقدند کاهش صدور پروانه ساخت می تواند بر عرضه واحدهای نوساز اثر بگذارد از این رو ممکن است عرضه ی واحدهای نوساز با مقدار تقاضای موجود هماهنگ نباشد و با کاهش نسبی مواجه شود. همین مسئله اهمیت بازهی زمانی فعلی را دو چندان می کند. البته در کنار این مشکل صاحب نظران به هیچ عنوان وقوع بحران واحدهای نوساز را پیش بینی نمی کنند.

نشانگر بیرونی رونق مسکن

علاوه بر شش سیگنال فوق که بیانگر وضع داخلی بازار مسکن است.سیگنال ها و علایم بیرونی نیز خالی از اهمیت نیست.هرچند بازار مسکن از تابستان 92 دچار رکود شده است اما همه ی نشانه ها حاکی از برون رفت بازار مسکن از اوضاع فعلی است.نشانه ها گواه رونق این بازار در سال جاری است.بهروز ملکی کارشناس مسکن خاطر نشان کرد:حجم غیر معمول صدور پروانه ساخت ساختمانیطی سال های 90 تا 92 مهم ترین دلیل طولانی شدن رکود بازار مسکن بودهمچنین ازافت درآمدهای نفتی، نرخ بالای سود بانکی و همچنین نرخ پایین رشد اقتصادی در سال‌های ۹۲ تا ۹۴ هم می توان به عنوان علایم تشدید رکود بازار مسکن طی سال های گذشته نام برد.

منبع:اقتصاد نیوز

مطالب مرتبط

  • 93
    به گزارش اقتصادآنلاین به نقل از شرق ، حسام عقبایی رئیس اتحادیه مشاوران املاک تهران وضعیت مسکن در سال آینده را تشریح می کند. او نشانه‌های خروج از رکود را یکی یکی برمی‌شمارد و موعد آن را خرداد سال آینده ذکر می‌کند. این گفت‌وگو را بخوانید. ‌در بهمن‌ماه شاهد کاهش…
  • 92
    شرایط اولیه رونق معاملات ملک با ورود خانه‌اولی‌ها به بازار تابستانی مسکن فراهم آمد، اما تکرار «خطای جست‌وجو» می‌تواند باعث انحراف از مسیر رو به جلو در این بازار شود. متقاضیان خرید مسکن معمولا سه مولفه «قیمت»، «متراژ» و «محله» را در اولویت جست‌وجو قرار می‌دهند که از بین آنها،…
  • 89
    رشد قیمت مسکن در مناطق مختلف تهران گروه مسکن – آپارتمان‌های مسکونی در منطقه 2 در سال گذشته کمترین رشد قیمتی را نسبت به آپارتمان‌های سایر مناطق تهران داشته‌اند. جدول زیر نرخ رشد متوسط قیمت هر متر مربع واحد مسکونی در شهر تهران را نشان می‌دهد. در این جدول که…
  • 84
    نظر مشاورین املاک در خصوص بازار مسکن در شب عید چیست؟ 50 نفر مشاور املاک تهران، از مناطق 22 گانه شهر تهران در نظرسنجی ،وضعیت بازار مسکن در شب عید، شرکت کردند. قیمت مسکن اخیرا ثبات خوبی دارد و همه اطلاعات و داده ها نشان از ورود این  بازار به فاز پیش…
  • 84
     دیگر سالهاست زمان آن گذشته که در دفتر کار خود بنشینید تا مشتری به سراغ شما بیاید . در بازار پر رقابت امروز که حتی نانوایی ها  که روزگاری مجبور بودید در صف های طولانی آنها نوبت بگیرید هم به فکرراه هایی برای جذب مشتری هستند ، چاره ای نیست…

162 thoughts on “هفت سیگنال برای خرید مسکن

  1. Right here is the right site for anyone who would like to find out about this topic.
    You realize so much its almost tough to argue
    with you (not that I really will need to…HaHa).
    You definitely put a fresh spin on a topic that’s been written about for ages.
    Excellent stuff, just excellent!

  2. It was great to read this article and I feel you are entirely right. Tell me if perhaps you are curious about mobdro for iphone, this is my principal competency. I really hope to check back with you in the near future, take care!

  3. You are entirely correct! I enjoyed reading this article and I will return for more as quickly as possible. Our website is on the subject of shareit app, you could take a glance if you are interested in this.

  4. Hello there, you’re absolutely right. I always read through your posts attentively. I’m furthermore curious about best lic policy, you could write about that at times. Have a nice day!

  5. Kudos in the direction of Villanova, #1 in just the nation. Crank out it a double header… penn country trips the palestra upon Saturday afternoon, in addition! Ought to be a positive activity.

  6. you are really a good webmaster. The web site loading speed is incredible. It seems that you are doing any unique trick. Furthermore, The contents are masterpiece. you’ve done a great job on this topic!

  7. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this topic to be actually something that I think I would never understand. It seems too complex and very broad for me. I’m looking forward for your next post, I will try to get the hang of it!

  8. There’s awesome modifications on the structure of this blog, I definitely like this! My site is regarding college homework help and currently there are a lot of stuff to do, I’m still a starter in website creation. Be careful!

  9. You’re totally correct and I agree with you. If you wish, we might as well talk about lic policy enquiry, one thing which fascinates me. The site is certainly awesome, take care!

  10. Hey could you inform me which blog platform you are making use of? I am going to start off our site on omega xl walgreens very soon but I am having a hard time deciding.

  11. It’s really a cool and useful piece of info. I am glad that you shared this useful info with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thanks for sharing.

  12. Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts. In any case I will be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again very soon!

  13. Hi, I think your blog might be having browser compatibility issues.
    When I look at your blog in Chrome, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has
    some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up!
    Other then that, very good blog!

  14. Hey there! I know this is kinda off topic however , I’d figured
    I’d ask. Would you be interested in exchanging links or maybe guest authoring a blog post or vice-versa?
    My blog goes over a lot of the same subjects as yours and I think we could greatly benefit from each other.
    If you happen to be interested feel free to send me an e-mail.
    I look forward to hearing from you! Wonderful blog by the way!

  15. When I originally commented I clicked the “Notify me when new comments are added” checkbox and
    now each time a comment is added I get four e-mails with the same comment.

    Is there any way you can remove people from that service? Cheers!

  16. This is a smart blog. I mean it. You have so much knowledge about this issue, and so much passion. You also know how to make people rally behind it, obviously from the responses

  17. I’m extremely inspired together with your writing abilities as smartly as with the layout in your blog. Is that this a paid subject matter or did you customize it yourself? Either way keep up the excellent high quality writing, it’s rare to see a great weblog like this one these days..

  18. There are certainly fantastic upgrades on the style of this blog, I honestly enjoy it. My own is regarding Arvind Pandit Kansas and there are plenty of things to do, I am yet still a rookie in web development. Take good care!

  19. Our LGV (Large Goods Vehicle) HGV training is based in East London, and our LGV/ HGV courses are taught by qualified DVSA LGV & HGV trainers. LGV was formerly known as HGV, where it used to be referred to as HGV Class 2 (now called LGV Category C) and HGV class 1 (Now called LGV Category C+E).

  20. Hello there, I am so excited I discovered this website, I really encountered you by error, while I was browsing on Google for tv series online. Anyhow I’m here right now and would simply enjoy to say thank you for a wonderful write-up and the all round exciting site (I also enjoy the theme/design), I do not have the time to go through it all at the minute however I have book-marked it and even added in your RSS feed, so once I have sufficient time I’ll be returning to browse a lot more. Please do maintain the awesome work.

  21. I actually arrived over here from some other page about injury attorney and thought I might as well read this. I quite like the things I see so now I am following you. Looking forward to looking over your blog all over again.

  22. I’m truly enjoying the theme/design of your information site. Do you ever face any browser interface troubles? A number of the site readers have complained about my pokemon go game blog not operating appropriately in Internet Explorer but appears wonderful in Firefox. Do you have any kind of suggestions to aid correct the problem?

  23. Would you be interested in trading links or maybe guest authoring a blog article or vice-versa? My site discusses a lot of the same subjects as yours and I believe we could greatly benefit from each other. If you’re interested feel free to shoot me an email. I look forward to hearing from you! Awesome blog by the way!

  24. My family and I totally love your blog and find the majority of your blogposts to be precisely what I am looking for. Do you offer guest writers to post articles for you? I would not mind publishing an article on how to convert bitcoin to cash or possibly on some of the topics you are writing about on this site. Cool site!

  25. I’m really curious to learn which website platform you are utilizing? I’m having some small protection issues with the latest blog on push mower and I’d love to find something more safe. Have any solutions?

  26. I am really interested to discover just what site system you have been working with? I’m experiencing several minor protection challenges with the most recent blog regarding online shooting games so I’d love to find one thing a lot more risk-free. Are there any suggestions?

  27. My family and I really like your blog and find a majority of the blog posts to be just what I’m trying to find. Would you offer people to post content material for you? I wouldn’t mind composing a piece of text relating to discount shipping or maybe on a few of the things you are writing about on this site. Cool blog!

  28. Thank you for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do a little research on this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more clear from this post. I’m very glad to see such great info being shared freely out there.

  29. I’m actually loving the theme of your weblog. Do you ever face any web browser interface situations? Quite a few of the website audience have lamented regarding my free full movies blog not working correctly in Internet Explorer though appears amazing in Opera. Have you got any kind of advice to help repair the problem?

  30. I think this is one of the most vital information for me. And i am glad reading your article. But want to remark on few general things, The website style is wonderful, the articles is really excellent : D. Good job, cheers

  31. Admiring the dedication you put into the blog and in depth information you provide. It is good to find a blog once in a while that is not the same unwanted rehashed stuff. Wonderful read! I’ve bookmarked your website and I am adding the RSS feeds to my free english movies page.

  32. I am curious to discover which blog system you have been working with? I’m experiencing a few minor safety problems with my latest site regarding stream movies and I’d love to find a thing more safe. Have any suggestions?

  33. I simply want to tell you that I’m all new to blogging and truly savored your web blog. Very likely I’m likely to bookmark your site . You amazingly have incredible well written articles. Thanks a lot for sharing with us your blog site.

  34. You can definitely see your skills within the work you write. The world hopes for even more passionate writers such as you who are not afraid to say how they believe. Always follow your heart. “Every man serves a useful purpose A miser, for example, makes a wonderful ancestor.” by Laurence J. Peter.

  35. MichaelJemery.com is a site with many hypnosis downloads. Whether you are looking for free hypnosis downloads, self hypnosis download for mp3, video and any audio files, Michael Jemery has the downloads for you. You can download hypnosis from apps, audio, mp3 and even youtube !

  36. I just hope to tell you that I am new to writing a blog and clearly valued your page. Probably I am inclined to save your blog post . You certainly have memorable article material. Appreciate it for giving out with us all of your site page

  37. Have you ever considered creating an ebook or guest authoring on other websites? I have a blog based upon on the same subjects you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my subscribers would value your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e-mail.

  38. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this topic to be actually something which I think I would never understand. It seems too complicated and very broad for me. I’m looking forward for your next post, I’ll try to get the hang of it!

  39. Somebody necessarily assist to make critically posts I’d state. This is the very first time I frequented your website page and up to now? I amazed with the analysis you made to make this particular post amazing. Magnificent process!

  40. Hello, Neat post. There’s a problem with your website in web explorer, may test this… IE nonetheless is the marketplace leader and a big component to other folks will miss your magnificent writing due to this problem.

  41. I’ve been surfing online more than 3 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It’s pretty worth enough for me. In my opinion, if all website owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the web will be a lot more useful than ever before.

  42. You can certainly see your enthusiasm within the paintings you write. The world hopes for more passionate writers such as you who aren’t afraid to mention how they believe. All the time go after your heart. “He never is alone that is accompanied with noble thoughts.” by Fletcher.

  43. I conceive this site holds some real great information for everyone :D. “This is an age in which one cannot find common sense without a search warrant.” by George Will.

  44. Hey, you used to write fantastic, but the last several posts have been kinda boring… I miss your super writings. Past few posts are just a little bit out of track! come on!

  45. I will immediately seize your rss as I can’t in finding your email subscription link or newsletter service. Do you’ve any? Please permit me know in order that I may subscribe. Thanks.

  46. Great – I should definitely pronounce, impressed with your site. I had no trouble navigating through all tabs and related information ended up being truly simple to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it at all. Quite unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or anything, website theme . a tones way for your client to communicate. Excellent task.

  47. Great blog here! Also your site loads up fast! What web host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host? I wish my web site loaded up as quickly as yours lol

  48. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do a little research about this. We got a grab a book from our area library but I think I learned more clear from this post. I’m very glad to see such wonderful info being shared freely out there.

  49. A person necessarily assist to make seriously posts I might state. That is the first time I frequented your website page and to this point? I surprised with the analysis you made to create this particular publish amazing. Fantastic task!

  50. I am not sure where you are getting your info, but great topic. I needs to spend some time learning more or understanding more. Thanks for great info I was looking for this information for my mission.

  51. I got what you intend, thankyou for posting .Woh I am thankful to find this website through google. “Food is the most primitive form of comfort.” by Sheila Graham.

  52. Definitely believe that which you said. Your favorite reason appeared to be on the web the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I certainly get annoyed while people think about worries that they plainly don’t know about. You managed to hit the nail upon the top as well as defined out the whole thing without having side-effects , people could take a signal. Will likely be back to get more. Thanks

  53. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do some research on this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more clear from this post. I am very glad to see such excellent information being shared freely out there.

  54. I am not sure where you are getting your info, but great topic. I needs to spend some time learning more or understanding more. Thanks for magnificent information I was looking for this info for my mission.

  55. I intended to send you that tiny remark in order to say thank you again about the pretty techniques you have contributed above. It has been really incredibly open-handed with you giving without restraint what exactly a lot of people might have advertised for an electronic book to end up making some bucks for themselves, even more so considering that you might have done it if you ever wanted. The inspiring ideas in addition acted as the fantastic way to realize that someone else have the same dream like my personal own to grasp a lot more with regards to this issue. I’m certain there are thousands of more pleasurable occasions up front for those who read through your blog.

  56. Thank you for the sensible critique. Me & my neighbor were just preparing to do a little research on this. We got a grab a book from our area library but I think I learned more from this post. I am very glad to see such excellent information being shared freely out there.

  57. Thanks, I have recently been searching for info approximately this topic for a long time and yours is the greatest I’ve came upon so far. However, what about the conclusion? Are you sure about the supply?

  58. I like what you guys are up also. Such clever work and reporting! Carry on the superb works guys I’ve incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it’ll improve the value of my web site :).

  59. I got what you mean , thanks for putting up.Woh I am glad to find this website through google. “You must pray that the way be long, full of adventures and experiences.” by Constantine Peter Cavafy.

  60. I was recommended this web site by my cousin. I am not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my problem. You are wonderful! Thanks!

  61. I will right away seize your rss feed as I can not find your email subscription link or e-newsletter service. Do you have any? Please let me realize in order that I may just subscribe. Thanks.

  62. It’s actually a great and useful piece of info. I’m glad that you shared this helpful information with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thanks for sharing.

  63. I do trust all the ideas you’ve introduced on your post. They are very convincing and will certainly work. Nonetheless, the posts are too brief for novices. Could you please lengthen them a little from subsequent time? Thanks for the post.

  64. I think this is one of the most important information for me. And i’m glad reading your article. But should remark on few general things, The site style is great, the articles is really nice : D. Good job, cheers

  65. Hiya very cool site!! Man .. Beautiful .. Wonderful .. I’ll bookmark your site and take the feeds additionally…I’m happy to find numerous helpful info here in the post, we need work out more techniques in this regard, thank you for sharing.

  66. I really appreciate this post. I’ve been looking everywhere for this! Thank goodness I found it on Bing. You have made my day! Thank you again!

  67. Simply desire to say your article is as amazing. The clearness in your post is just cool and i could assume you are an expert on this subject. Fine with your permission let me to grab your feed to keep updated with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please keep up the gratifying work.

  68. you’re actually a just right webmaster. The web site loading pace is incredible. It seems that you’re doing any unique trick. In addition, The contents are masterpiece. you have done a excellent activity on this topic!

  69. hello!,I really like your writing very a lot! proportion we communicate extra approximately your article on AOL? I require an expert on this house to unravel my problem. May be that’s you! Taking a look ahead to look you.

  70. What i don’t understood is if truth be told how you are not really a lot more neatly-favored than you might be now. You’re very intelligent. You understand therefore significantly in terms of this matter, made me in my opinion believe it from so many numerous angles. Its like men and women are not fascinated except it’s one thing to accomplish with Woman gaga! Your personal stuffs outstanding. Always deal with it up!

  71. I must convey my passion for your generosity in support of folks that must have assistance with the area of interest. Your special dedication to passing the solution all through had been pretty insightful and has really made people just like me to attain their targets. Your new invaluable suggestions indicates a great deal to me and even more to my mates. Best wishes; from each one of us.

  72. Thank you for this excellent article! I actually liked it.I’ll be sure to save this website and will come back in the future. I want to encourage you to keep on with your great posts, perhaps write about Arvind Pandit also, have a fine evening!

  73. hello!,I love your writing so much! proportion we be in contact more about your article on AOL? I require an expert on this house to solve my problem. May be that is you! Looking ahead to peer you.

  74. I like what you guys are up too. Such intelligent work and reporting! Carry on the superb works guys I have incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it will improve the value of my site :).

  75. I have been browsing online more than 3 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It’s pretty worth enough for me. Personally, if all webmasters and bloggers made good content as you did, the internet will be much more useful than ever before.

  76. Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all people you really know what you’re talking about! Bookmarked. Kindly additionally consult with my website =). We will have a link alternate agreement among us!

  77. I needed to write you one little bit of word to be able to say thank you as before on your fantastic opinions you have featured above. It has been so wonderfully open-handed with you to supply publicly exactly what some people could possibly have made available for an ebook to help with making some cash on their own, and in particular since you could have done it in the event you desired. These thoughts also served to become a fantastic way to realize that other people have the identical passion similar to my own to grasp great deal more when considering this condition. Certainly there are several more enjoyable instances in the future for folks who examine your website.

  78. I wish to express my passion for your kind-heartedness giving support to visitors who really want guidance on your niche. Your personal commitment to passing the solution all around had been particularly invaluable and has regularly empowered girls like me to achieve their dreams. Your entire important help and advice signifies much a person like me and somewhat more to my office workers. Many thanks; from each one of us.

  79. I think this is among the most important info for me. And i’m glad reading your article. But wanna remark on some general things, The website style is great, the articles is really excellent : D. Good job, cheers

  80. I do agree with all the concepts you’ve introduced on your post. They’re really convincing and can definitely work. Still, the posts are too quick for newbies. Could you please prolong them a bit from subsequent time? Thank you for the post.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.